Friday, January 21, 2011

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THE ONLY SOLUTION TO THE GOVERNMENT CREATED BY IMBROGLIO Mr. Préval, 28 November 2010 THE LAST IS THE CANCELLATION OF THE ELECTIONS

ANALYSIS OF THE OAS statistically insignificant TO MAKE A RECOMMENDATION

OAS AND ITS DESPERATE ATTEMPTS TO MAKE CREDIBLE ELECTIONS OF CANS November 28, 2010

start by saying clearly and unequivocally that any initiative whose main objective is the elimination of the popular vote, are likely to be countered by violent reaction of the masses, and therefore doomed to failure.

Two questions arise about a supposed relationship between two variables:
1) What is the probability that the relationship exists;
2) If so, how strong is the relationship?

There are two types of tools that are used to answer these questions: the first is addressed by tests of statistical significance, and the second measures of association.

tests of statistical significance are used to answer the question: what is the probability that what we believe to be a relationship between two variables is only a coincidence?

element of credibility within the Provisional Electoral Council is required to have credible data sets to carry out such an analysis and make a viable recommendation. Unfortunately, the PRC has been disparaged by most candidates and the general population.

elements that would lead to credible elections were completely absent from the electoral process in November 28, 2010, that is to say

General guidelines code of conduct that election administrators (POC) should be respected are the following:

• Election administrators must demonstrate respect for the law.
• Election administrators should be nonpartisan and neutral.
• Election administrators should be transparent.
• Election administrators must be accurate, professional and competent.
• Other agents within the system must be seen to be as neutral, while the judiciary in its adjudication of election petitions should be impartial. (Whereas in the case of CDW current candidates do not even have recourse to the judicial system, since they have opposite a POC who is both judge and party)
• Election administrators should have the sole objective of serving the electorate.

In reality, the Provisional Electoral Council in Haiti is the opposite of the conditions mentioned above. They have effectively manipulated the system by making changes last minute

35,000 new employees in the PRC were injected into the device.
20% of eligible voters have been in possession of their cards The electoral register electoral
was totally incomplete with most people carry their voter card unable to vote.
Massive government interference; early in the day pick-up in the morning the police were conducting the public transport service transporting people into polling stations and paying them to vote for Jude Celestin
Electoral General and partial elections should be ready 60 days and 30 days respectively before the elections, while that on the morning of election the lists were incomplete.
12 of the 19 presidential candidates have called for the annulment of the elections of 28 November 2010 and the list continues to grow.
exclusion of Lavalas ....

OAS has no respect for Haitian officials nor for the Haitian people as a whole. His so-called report was leaked to the press before being sent to President Preval. In any serious country, that mistake would have disastrous consequences for members of the OAS.

As observers, the OAS, CARICOM, and NOC have violated several rules.
The guidelines or codes of conduct to which observers election must comply are: •
Election observers must be non-partisan and neutral.
• Election observers must recognize and respect the sovereignty of host countries.
• Election observers must be accurate in the examination of the election, taking into account all relevant circumstances.
• Election observers must be accurate, professional and clear.
• Election observers must be transparent.

The OAS agreed to participate in the process of verifying an election marred by violations and breach ethics. This shows how organizations of human rights, aimed at resolving conflicts in underdeveloped countries act with utter disregard for the will of the masses in favor of a status quo that has failed.

There was no credible system in place before November 28, 2010 can guarantee the accuracy of the Minutes. Any attempt to validate the documents for which there is no way to ensure the accuracy can not and must not be validated. In simple terms "garbage in, garbage out" which means: vote fraud fraudulent vote-results = fraud.

Regardless of the number of experts from the OAS on the ground in Haiti, this organization can not justify special observation or analysis giving the right to make any recommendation about who should be first, second or third for Haitian elections. The analysis is not statistically significant it prevents them from being able to draw a conclusion or making a recommendation.

To illustrate this point: How the OAS can verify or validate a process where none of the principles that must be taken into consideration in order to conduct and organize fair elections have been respected?

The basic rule is already established and that the OAS, the UN and the international community s'adhérent is the universal and equal suffrage.

universal and equal suffrage is an international standard clear that the elections of 28 November 2010 were violated under the watchful eye of UN-promoter of the concept, followed by the OAS, CARICOM, and the international community. Universal and equal suffrage involves ensuring the right of every citizen. The right to be elected as a member of the legislature or other state or local agency, and the right to be elected president, may require an age beyond the age of majority, but must be guaranteed to all citizens of this age, without discrimination. The case of the exclusion of Lavalas, as well as many other eligible political parties are sufficient reasons to support the application for annulment of the elections of 28 November 2010.

The 1948 Universal Declaration of Human Rights in its Article 21 states:
1. Everyone has the right to take part in the government of his country, directly or through freely chosen representatives.
2. The will of the people is the basis of the authority of government; this will shall be expressed in periodic and genuine elections which shall be by universal and equal suffrage and secret ballot or by equivalent free voting.

According to the statement from Harare, adopted by the Commonwealth in 1991, its members also share a commitment to certain fundamental principles ...

We believe in freedom of the individual under the law, equal rights for all citizens irrespective of gender, race, color, creed or political belief, and the inalienable right person participation through free and democratic elections the political processes in shaping the society in which he lives;

In any case, the elections of 28 November 2010 may be acceptable when violations are identified tangible and now the OAS in complicity with the Preval government / Bellerive want to save and recommend a "run-off" for an election that was never produced.

The Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington agrees with the position of the 12 candidates seeking the annulment of the elections since November 28, 2010 and asked them to respect the will of the people of Haiti. The Center has gone further by stating:

"This report can not save an election was illegitimate, given that nearly three-quarters of the electorate did not vote, and that the counting of votes of the minority who voted is tainted irregularities, "said Mark Weisbrot, co-director of the center.

The center said an analysis of 11,181 tally sheets from the vote on November 28 and found serious flaws. He said that the report of the OAS can not help determine the outcome of the first round of elections in Haiti.

The Provisional Electoral Council released results Preliminary December 7, 2010, which gave Mirlande Manigat a victory with 31.4% of votes. Jude Celestin was placed second with 22.3% and Michel Martelly finished third with 21.8%.

Examination of the OAS has simply reversed the percentages between Jude Celestine and Michel Martelly but remains identical to what the provisional electoral council had previously published. The organization said Martelly had won 22.2% of the vote against Celestin to 21.9%, from Martelly in second place for a second round with Manigat.

The OAS estimates that 12% of the tally sheets were not sent to the Council Provisional Electoral (CEP) or had been set aside, the number of ballots lost is much higher than publicly announced by the OAS or the PRC.

But the Centre has found the following review of the OAS issue because it rejected the votes of a region that was favorable to Celestin and failed to examine all 11,181 sheets.

Weisbrot said that the margin of difference between 0.3% and Celestin Martelly in the counting of the OAS was too thin to statistically distinguish between the two.

"This seems to be a political decision, not professional, "he concluded.

Despite the "magnitude of problems" and "irregularities", the election shall not be invalidated, "said Granderson. You're wrong Mr. Granderson, Haiti wants a democracy in which the concept of a man / woman, one vote is respected and will fight to the end to achieve this goal.

A second round, originally scheduled for January 16, 2011, was postponed. The former dictator Jean Claude Duvalier returned to Haiti, while Jean-Bertrand Aristide was still in exile? What a dichotomy!

"A second round of voting between Michel Martelly Mirlande Manigat and does not reflect the will of the people.

The only legitimate decision is to cancel the elections, implement the mandate of Article 149 of the Constitution of 7 February, 2011 by the appointment of an interim government in Haiti for a year at most. His only goal should be to hold credible elections in Haiti for the presidency, the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate to Haiti once again a constitutional republic the February 7, 2012.

"Yon sèl new feb, Ansanm new fireplace, Ansanm, Ansanm new to Lavalas" CFLHO POBOX 2252 Fort Pierce, Florida 34954 info@fanmilavalas.net http://www.fanmilavalas.net/ 312-735-6297

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